Experts Predict a Busier, Healthier Housing Market in 2026

by | Oct 30, 2025

2026 Housing Market Predictions and Trends

After a few years of slowed activity, the housing market could finally gain momentum in 2026.
Economists expect a rise in home sales as both buyers and sellers start moving again.

Aerial view of a modern suburban neighborhood at sunset, representing stability and growth in the 2026 housing market forecast.

More Homes Are Expected To Sell

High prices and interest rates made many homeowners hold off on their plans, but that’s beginning to shift. Life events like job changes, growing families, and downsizing always keep the market moving — and experts predict a stronger year ahead (see graph below).

Bar chart showing total U.S. home sales increasing from 4,753,000 in 2024 to 4,817,103 in 2025 and 5,257,929 in 2026, based on forecasts from Fannie Mae, MBA, and NAR.

What’s prompting the change? Two main factors: mortgage rates and home prices. Let’s look at what the data suggests for both.

Mortgage Rates May Gradually Ease

For most buyers, the biggest hurdle has been high mortgage rates. After climbing to nearly 7% earlier this year, rates have started to come down.

Forecasts show that the downward trend could continue through 2026, though it’s unlikely to be a straight drop (see graph below).

Line graph showing 30-year fixed mortgage rates easing from 6.8 percent in early 2025 to between 5.9 and 6.4 percent by late 2026, based on forecasts from Fannie Mae, MBA, and Wells Fargo.

There’s an old saying: when rates rise, they take the escalator — but when they fall, they take the stairs. That means improvement will come slowly and unevenly as new economic reports shape market expectations.

Analysts project rates could reach the low 6% range, possibly even dipping into the high 5s.

Even a slight decrease makes a difference. Compared to 7% earlier this year, today’s lower rates can already reduce a buyer’s monthly payment by hundreds of dollars. That boost in affordability could encourage more buyers to take the leap.

Home Prices Expected To Rise at a Slower Pace

What about home values? Nationally, prices are expected to keep climbing — just at a gentler rate than in past years.

As borrowing costs ease, more buyers will return to the market, helping maintain steady demand. That demand will continue to put mild upward pressure on prices, preventing the kind of large-scale drop some buyers have been waiting for.

Even in areas where values have dipped slightly, most homes remain well above their pre-pandemic prices. Local conditions will vary depending on inventory levels and demand, but the consensus is clear: home prices will grow moderately at the national level (see graph below).

Bar chart comparing 2026 home price forecasts from multiple sources. NAR projects a 4.0 percent increase, Wells Fargo 3.4 percent, HPES 2.4 percent, Fannie Mae 1.1 percent, MBA a 0.2 percent decline, and the overall average is 2.1 percent.

That slower growth is actually good news for both buyers and sellers. It means a more stable, predictable market — one where buyers can budget with confidence and sellers can price their homes more accurately.

Bottom Line

After a period of limited movement, 2026 could mark a turning point.
Experts anticipate more home sales, modest rate relief, and steady prices — all signs of a healthier, more balanced housing market.

If you’ve been waiting for the right moment to make your move, it might be closer than you think.
Let’s connect to start planning your next step.

Vesta Schneider

Vesta Schneider
Realtor®
Luxury Homes | Relocation | Investments
Keller Williams Realty McKinney
📞 302-530-7314
📧 vestaschneider@yahoo.com